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Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? — Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? — Michelle Bachelet

6.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
bid · ask
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Polymarket
bid · ask
24h vol $5
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?' ↔ 'Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?' (score 0.75, outcome match 0.50).

Kalshi ticker
KXUNSEC-27JAN-MBAC
Resolves 1/5/2027
Polymarket condition
0x3f08f9986d8d2e14
Resolves 2/28/2026
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