Politics / Elections

Michigan Senate winner? — Will Republicans win the Senate race in Michigan? — Mike Rogers

41.3%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
42¢
bid 41¢ · ask 42¢
24h vol $127,584
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Polymarket
41¢
bid 40¢ · ask 41¢
24h vol $38,342
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Michigan Senate Election Winner' ↔ 'Michigan Senate winner?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
SENATEMI-26-R
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x3fd189cac9280dfc
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