Sports

NHL Conn Smythe Trophy — Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? — Mitch Marner

51.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range11.0pp dislocation
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Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
52¢
bid 48¢ · ask 55¢
24h vol $2,788
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
41¢
bid 27¢ · ask 54¢
24h vol $6
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner' ↔ 'NHL Conn Smythe Trophy' (score 0.83, outcome match 0.75).

Kalshi ticker
KXCONNSMYTHE-26-MMAR
Resolves 6/28/2026
Polymarket condition
0x95cd0ff6c1386639
Resolves 7/1/2026
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