Sports

Pro Baseball: Most Home Runs — Will New York Y record the most home runs in the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

42.8%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range12.5pp dislocation
K
P
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Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
49¢
bid 44¢ · ask 54¢
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Best price
Polymarket
37¢
bid 34¢ · ask 39¢
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'MLB: Most Home Runs (Team)' ↔ 'Pro Baseball: Most Home Runs' (score 0.67, outcome match 0.67).

Kalshi ticker
KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR-NYY
Resolves 9/30/2026
Polymarket condition
0xea0bbffc5d5f5256
Resolves 10/11/2026
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