Sports
Pro Baseball: 40+ Home Run Season — Will Nick Kurtz record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?
11.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range6.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs' ↔ 'Pro Baseball: 40+ Home Run Season' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.83, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-NKURTZ16
Resolves 10/3/2026
Polymarket condition
0xf0d2dc289ee80c6f…
Resolves 10/11/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.