Entertainment

Who will release a new song this year? — Will Nicki Minaj release a new song 2026?

60.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range10.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
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Best price
Kalshi
55¢
bid 11¢ · ask 98¢
24h vol $359
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Polymarket
65¢
bid 65¢ · ask 65¢
24h vol $472
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Which artists will release a new song in 2026?' ↔ 'Who will release a new song this year?' (score 0.57, outcome match 1.00, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-NIC
Resolves 1/8/2027
Polymarket condition
0x8a1b8ba89dcc18b6…
Resolves 1/2/2027
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