Politics / Elections
Who will advance in the Los Angeles mayoral election? — Will Nithya Raman qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
53.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range38.9pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Los Angeles Mayoral Election' ↔ 'Who will advance in the Los Angeles mayoral election?' (score 0.57, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXLAMAYORADVANCE-26JUN02-NRAM
Resolves 6/1/2028
Polymarket condition
0x694595d0a008f10e…
Resolves 6/2/2026
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