Politics / Elections
Who will win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? — Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
83.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Toronto Mayoral Election Winner' ↔ 'Who will win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?' (score 0.50, outcome match 1.00).
Kalshi ticker
KXTORONTOMAYOR-26OCT26-OCHO
Resolves 10/26/2027
Polymarket condition
0x1295040186326703…
Resolves 10/26/2026
Pro
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