Other

State of the economy at the end of 2026? — Overheating

45.6%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Best price
Kalshi
45¢
bid 43¢ · ask 48¢
24h vol $5,402
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
50¢
bid 49¢ · ask 51¢
24h vol $74
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'US economic state at the end of 2026?' ↔ 'State of the economy at the end of 2026' (score 0.50, outcome match 1.00, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXECONPATH-26-OHEAT
Resolves 1/13/2027
Polymarket condition
0x4e54fc57fcd566b9
Resolves 1/31/2027
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