Sports
Pro Baseball: 40+ Home Run Season — Will Pete Alonso record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?
19.8%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range10.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs' ↔ 'Pro Baseball: 40+ Home Run Season' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.83, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-PALONSO25
Resolves 10/3/2026
Polymarket condition
0x8fed9ec7a279b773…
Resolves 10/11/2026
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