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Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Will Pope Leo XIV be Time Person of the Year in 2026?

19.4%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Kalshi
20¢
bid 19¢ · ask 20¢
24h vol $854
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
16¢
bid 15¢ · ask 16¢
24h vol $24
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'TIME Person of the Year 2026' ↔ 'Time's Person of the Year for 2026' (score 1.00, outcome match 1.00, llm=same).

Kalshi ticker
KXTIME-26-POP
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0xc36f13fb975afe21
Resolves 12/31/2026
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