Sports

Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.4% for the year ending in July 2026?

43.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
44¢
bid 39¢ · ask 48¢
24h vol $53
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
48¢
bid 30¢ · ask 65¢
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Core CPI YoY - July 2026' ↔ 'Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)' (score 0.83, outcome match 0.50).

Kalshi ticker
KXCPICOREYOY-26JUL-T2.4
Resolves 8/12/2026
Polymarket condition
0x24be811a567f2588
Resolves 8/12/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.