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Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in July 2026?
28.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range16.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Core CPI YoY - July 2026' ↔ 'Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)' (score 0.83, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXCPICOREYOY-26JUL-T2.5
Resolves 8/12/2026
Polymarket condition
0xab0680169ed54199…
Resolves 8/12/2026
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