Sports

UCL — Champions League Winner — Will Real Madrid win the Champions League?

10.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range9.4pp dislocation
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Kalshi Polymarket
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Kalshi
11¢
bid 10¢ · ask 11¢
24h vol $3,072
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Polymarket
1¢
bid 0¢ · ask 2¢
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'UEFA Women's Champions League 2026-27 Winner' ↔ 'Champions League Winner' (score 0.62, outcome match 1.00, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXUCL-27-RMA
Resolves 6/19/2027
Polymarket condition
0xe148bd993f85e60a…
Resolves 5/31/2027
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