Politics / Elections
WI-03 Democratic nominee? — Will Rebecca Cooke be the Democratic nominee for WI-03?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 449 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
93.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner' ↔ 'WI-03 Democratic nominee?' (score 0.50, outcome match 1.00).
Kalshi ticker
KXWIPRIMARY-03D26-RCOO
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x7f1804c861720aee…
Resolves 8/11/2026
Pro
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