Geopolitics

Brazil Presidential election winner? — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

16.1%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
17¢
bid 16¢ · ask 18¢
24h vol $533
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
16¢
bid 16¢ · ask 16¢
24h vol $26,232
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Brazil Presidential Election' ↔ 'Brazil Presidential election winner?' (score 0.75, outcome match 1.00).

Kalshi ticker
KXBRPRES-26-RSAN
Resolves 10/25/2027
Polymarket condition
0x05297f854d3b757d
Resolves 10/4/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.