Politics / 2028
Iowa Senate winner? (2028) — Will Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa? — Republican party
65.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.5pp dislocation
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P
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Kalshi Polymarket
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Iowa Senate Election Winner' ↔ 'Iowa Senate winner? (2028)' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
SENATEIA-28-R
Resolves 11/7/2029
Polymarket condition
0x38a1025bfc56539e…
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