Politics / Elections
MA-04 House winner? — Will Republican win the House race for MA-04? — Republican party
4.1%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.9pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'MA-04 House Election Winner' ↔ 'MA-04 House winner?' (score 0.80, outcome match 0.60).
Kalshi ticker
KXHOUSERACE-MA04-26-R
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x176291d4811a4754…
Resolves 11/3/2026
Pro
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