Politics / 2028
Iowa Senate winner? (2028) — Will Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa? — Republican party
57.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range5.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Iowa Senate Election Winner' ↔ 'Iowa Senate winner? (2028)' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
SENATEIA-28-R
Resolves 11/7/2029
Polymarket condition
0x38a1025bfc56539e…
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