Geopolitics
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? — Who will be the next the head of state or government of Iran? — Reza Pahlavi
6.2%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?' ↔ 'Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?' (score 0.71, outcome match 0.62).
Kalshi ticker
KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0xaa5cdb6830cbfa2c…
Resolves 12/31/2026
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