Entertainment
Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series — Will Rhea Seehorn win Drama Actress at the Emmy Awards?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 365 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
80.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series' ↔ 'Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series' (score 0.46, outcome match 0.60).
Kalshi ticker
KXEMMYDACTR-26SEP14-RHE
Resolves 9/14/2027
Polymarket condition
0x74c00fc8e90a6a0a…
Resolves 9/14/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.