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Tour de France Winner — Will Richard Carapaz win the 2026 Tour de France?

0.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
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24h vol $4,676
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Tour De France 2026: Winner' ↔ 'Tour de France Winner' (score 1.00, outcome match 1.00).

Kalshi ticker
KXCYCLING-26TDFR-RCAR
Resolves 8/9/2026
Polymarket condition
0x9c2e485a04ee3051
Resolves 8/9/2026
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