Other

Big Brother Season 28 · 3rd place — Will Rick Devens finish in 3 place in Big Brother Season 28?

Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 91 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.

16.5%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range6.1pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket

Kalshi

17¢

bid 14¢ · ask 19¢

24h vol $483

Trade on Kalshi →

Best price

Polymarket

10¢

bid 10¢ · ask 11¢

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Big Brother Season 28: 3rd Place' ↔ 'Big Brother Season 28 · 3rd place ' (score 1.00, outcome match 0.40).

Kalshi ticker

KXBIGBROTHERRANK-26DEC31R3-RIC

Resolves 12/31/2026

Polymarket condition

0x9e36f9fbaaf4af90…

Resolves 10/1/2026

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