Entertainment
Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie — Will Riz Ahmed win Movie/Limited Actor at the Emmy Awards?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 365 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
18.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie' ↔ 'Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie' (score 0.54, outcome match 0.60).
Kalshi ticker
KXEMMYLIMITEDACTO-26SEP14-RIZ
Resolves 9/14/2027
Polymarket condition
0x0b7a351d6551dd39…
Resolves 9/14/2026
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