Other
Los Angeles County Sheriff winner? — Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff general election? — Robert G. Luna
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 364 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
96.6%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.4pp dislocation
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P
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Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: '2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner' ↔ 'Los Angeles County Sheriff winner?' (score 0.83, outcome match 0.75, llm=same).
Kalshi ticker
KXLASHERIFF-26-RLUN
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x1239d3bd13c66b7e…
Resolves 11/4/2026
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