Politics
Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — Will Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?
5.8%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Who will Trump pardon before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will Trump pardon in 2026?' (score 0.67, outcome match 0.40, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RVER
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0xb5052bf717633331…
Resolves 1/1/2027
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