Entertainment

Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie — Will Sarah Snook win Movie/Limited Actress at the Emmy Awards?

Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 365 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.

33.5%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Best price

Kalshi

33¢

bid 32¢ · ask 34¢

Trade on Kalshi →

Polymarket

34¢

bid 33¢ · ask 34¢

24h vol $246

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie' ↔ 'Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie' (score 0.54, outcome match 0.47).

Kalshi ticker

KXEMMYLIMITEDACTR-26SEP14-SAR

Resolves 9/14/2027

Polymarket condition

0xefc507bab37a7eb3…

Resolves 9/14/2026

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