Politics / Elections
Hamilton mayoral election winner? — Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 364 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
3.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
Sign up free to see how prices have moved
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Hamilton Mayoral Election' ↔ 'Hamilton mayoral election winner?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.80, llm=same).
Kalshi ticker
KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26-SAUS
Resolves 10/26/2027
Polymarket condition
0x88a11147c642dd89…
Resolves 10/27/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.