Other
Will Spain announce a snap election in 2026? — Will Spain announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2027?
22.7%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range5.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Spain snap election called in 2026?' ↔ 'Will Spain announce a snap election in 2026?' (score 0.67, outcome match 0.44, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXSNAPELECTIONSPAIN-27JAN01
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0xeff7a26ee6695df9…
Resolves 12/31/2026
Pro
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