Sports

UEFA Nations League Champion — Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?

45.8%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range13.0pp dislocation
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Kalshi Polymarket
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Kalshi
49¢
bid 46¢ · ask 51¢
24h vol $10,991
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Best price
Polymarket
36¢
bid 34¢ · ask 37¢
24h vol $2,847
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'UEFA Nations League Winner 2026-27' ↔ 'UEFA Nations League Champion' (score 0.71, outcome match 1.00, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXUEFANL-27-ESP
Resolves 6/28/2027
Polymarket condition
0xcf0d635745576739…
Resolves 6/14/2027
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