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Berlin State Election — Will SPD win the 2026 Berlin state election?

6.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
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24h vol $241
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Berlin State Election Winner' ↔ 'Berlin State Election' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.50).

Kalshi ticker
KXBERLINSTATE-26SEP20-SPD
Resolves 9/20/2027
Polymarket condition
0x4d5c17cb767b19eb
Resolves 9/20/2026
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