Politics
Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — Will Steve Bannon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?
8.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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P
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Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Who will Trump pardon before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will Trump pardon in 2026?' (score 0.67, outcome match 0.40, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SBAN
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x4a869db910b4f8e3…
Resolves 1/1/2027
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