Politics / Elections
California Governor winner? — Who will win the governorship in California? — Steve Hilton
8.8%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.3pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'California Governor Election Winner' ↔ 'California Governor winner?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.60).
Kalshi ticker
KXGOVCA-26-SHIL
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x119b6b3b744ac323…
Resolves 11/3/2026
Pro
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