Politics / Elections
Maine Senate winner? — Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine? — Susan Collins
31.3%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.0pp dislocation
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Kalshi Polymarket
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Maine Senate Election Winner' ↔ 'Maine Senate winner?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
SENATEME-26-R
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x2c00cb09722a0f05…
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