Politics

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?

28.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range6.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
29¢
bid 28¢ · ask 29¢
24h vol $230
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
22¢
bid 21¢ · ask 23¢
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?' (score 0.71, outcome match 0.40).

Kalshi ticker
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SWIL
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0xa8ce9e92890d683b
Resolves 12/31/2026
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