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Tour de France Winner — Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Tour de France?

98.7%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
99¢
bid 98¢ · ask 99¢
24h vol $15,978
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
99¢
bid 98¢ · ask 99¢
24h vol $64,626
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Tour De France 2026: Winner' ↔ 'Tour de France Winner' (score 1.00, outcome match 0.50).

Kalshi ticker
KXCYCLING-26TDFR-TPOG
Resolves 8/9/2026
Polymarket condition
0xbf6d232fa9083d64
Resolves 8/9/2026
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