Politics

What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? — Tariff

18.8%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range3.5pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Kalshi

19¢

bid 18¢ · ask 20¢

24h vol $2,522

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Best price

Polymarket

16¢

bid 11¢ · ask 20¢

24h vol $132

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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'What will Marco Rubio say on Fox News: My View?' ↔ 'What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump?' (score 0.70, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker

KXFOXNEWSMENTION-26AUG01-TARI

Resolves 8/16/2026

Polymarket condition

0x9fa87697008b7d53…

Resolves 8/1/2026

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