Other
Tour de France: Green Jersey Winner — Will Thymen Arensman win the green jersey at the 2026 Tour de France?
0.3%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Tour De France 2026: Green Jersey' ↔ 'Tour de France: Green Jersey Winner' (score 0.86, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXCYCLINGJERSEY-26TDFRGREEN-TARE
Resolves 8/9/2026
Polymarket condition
0xb3892a3724bce5f0…
Resolves 8/9/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.