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Tour de France: Polka Dot Jersey Winner — Will Thymen Arensman win the polka dot jersey at the 2026 Tour de France?

0.3%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Tour De France 2026: Polka Dot Jersey' ↔ 'Tour de France: Polka Dot Jersey Winner' (score 0.88, outcome match 0.50).

Kalshi ticker
KXCYCLINGJERSEY-26TDFRPOLKADOT-TARE
Resolves 8/9/2026
Polymarket condition
0x278226682cb769fe
Resolves 8/9/2026
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