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Georgia Secretary of State winner? — Will Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Georgia? — Tim Fleming
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 365 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
40.1%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Georgia Secretary of State Election Winner' ↔ 'Georgia Secretary of State winner?' (score 0.67, outcome match 0.43, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXSECSTATEGA-26-R
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0xaff841a0c12275ac…
Resolves 11/3/2026
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