Other
Tour de France: Green Jersey Winner — Will Tobias Halland Johannessen win the green jersey at the 2026 Tour de France?
47.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range47.4pp dislocation
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Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Tour De France 2026: Green Jersey' ↔ 'Tour de France: Green Jersey Winner' (score 0.86, outcome match 0.60).
Kalshi ticker
KXCYCLINGJERSEY-26TDFRGREEN-THAL
Resolves 8/9/2026
Polymarket condition
0x8091548bfb7d4aca…
Resolves 8/9/2026
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