Politics / Elections

Alaska Governor winner? (Person) — Who will win the governorship in Alaska? — Tom Begich

24.1%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range5.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
24¢
bid 21¢ · ask 27¢
24h vol $417
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
30¢
bid 29¢ · ask 30¢
24h vol $6
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Alaska Governor Election Winner ' ↔ 'Alaska Governor winner? (Person)' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.60).

Kalshi ticker
KXGOVAK-26-TBEG
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0xb120cb1c26ad4568
Resolves 11/3/2026
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