Other
Who will be arrested before 2027? — Will Tom Homan be arrested before Jan 2027?
18.3%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range8.2pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' (score 0.75, outcome match 0.67).
Kalshi ticker
KXARREST-27JAN-THOM
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0xbe555c50fc49ae7f…
Pro
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