Politics / Elections

California Governor winner? — Who will win the governorship in California? — Tom Steyer

18.4%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
19¢
bid 18¢ · ask 20¢
24h vol $130,525
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
17¢
bid 17¢ · ask 17¢
24h vol $56,961
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'California Governor Election Winner' ↔ 'California Governor winner?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.60).

Kalshi ticker
KXGOVCA-26-TSTE
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x8d62f20324e9e7f1
Resolves 11/3/2026
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