Politics / Elections
CA-45 primary: Who will advance? — Will Tom Vo advance in the 2026 CA-45 primary?
49.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range35.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'CA-45 Primary Winners' ↔ 'CA-45 primary: Who will advance?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXCAPRIMARY-4526-TVO
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x85695b61993d8ed7…
Resolves 6/2/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.