Sports

NFL — Pro Football: 30+ Passing Touchdowns Season — Will Trevor Lawrence record 30+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

43.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range14.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
Sign up free to see how prices have moved
Sign up free →
Best price
Kalshi
29¢
bid 0¢ · ask 58¢
Trade on Kalshi →
Polymarket
43¢
bid 30¢ · ask 56¢
24h vol $59
Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Pro Football: 2026-27 30+ Passing Touchdowns' ↔ 'Pro Football: 30+ Passing Touchdowns Season' (score 0.57, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXNFLSEASONPASSTDS-27C30-TLAWRENCE16
Resolves 2/2/2027
Polymarket condition
0x3e6badb9630d79a6…
Resolves 1/27/2027
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.