Other

Ligue 1 Relegation — Will Troyes be relegated from Ligue 1 in 2026-27 Season?

35.8%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range8.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
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Kalshi
40¢
bid · ask 80¢
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Polymarket
32¢
bid 31¢ · ask 32¢
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Ligue 1: Teams relegated (2026-27)' ↔ 'Ligue 1 Relegation' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXLIGUE1RELEGATION-27-EST
Resolves 7/15/2027
Polymarket condition
0x64861ac6b61c8e19
Resolves 7/1/2027
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