Crypto

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026? — Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?

14.2%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Best price

Kalshi

14¢

bid 13¢ · ask 14¢

24h vol $273

Trade on Kalshi →

Polymarket

15¢

bid 14¢ · ask 15¢

24h vol $526

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?' ↔ 'Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?' (score 0.62, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker

KXBTCRESERVE-27-JAN01

Resolves 1/1/2027

Polymarket condition

0x953b1439569eef0a…

Resolves 12/31/2026

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