Geopolitics
When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together? — Will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together before Jan 1, 2028?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 365 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
84.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range8.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?' ↔ 'When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXTRUMPXIPUTIN-28JAN01-28JAN01
Resolves 1/1/2028
Polymarket condition
0x542376eacfaf03a7…
Resolves 1/1/2027
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