Other

Will U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Will U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

15.1%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
17¢
bid 17¢ · ask 17¢
24h vol $111,176
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
15¢
bid 14¢ · ask 15¢
24h vol $246,607
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?' ↔ 'Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?' (score 0.60, outcome match 1.00).

Kalshi ticker
KXALIENS-27
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x747dc809fb79e1b0
Resolves 12/31/2026
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