Other
Tour de France Team Winner — Will UAE Team Emirates-XRG win the 2026 Tour de France?
10.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range10.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Tour De France 2026: Winner Nationality' ↔ 'Tour de France Team Winner' (score 0.71, outcome match 0.45).
Kalshi ticker
KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR-UAT
Resolves 8/9/2026
Polymarket condition
0x80b5c0174e78f873…
Resolves 7/26/2026
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